{"id":94,"date":"2026-05-29T21:08:37","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T21:08:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nabacut.com\/?p=94"},"modified":"2026-05-31T18:09:42","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T18:09:42","slug":"mengapa-rupiah-tembus-rp17-800-per-dolar-as-dianggap-tidak-masuk-akal-ini-penjelasan-menkeu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nabacut.com\/?p=94","title":{"rendered":"Mengapa Rupiah Tembus Rp17.800 per Dolar AS Dianggap ‘Tidak Masuk Akal’? Ini Penjelasan Menkeu"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n
\"Potret<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potret Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa saat memberikan keterangan pers terkait analisis nilai tukar rupiah dan ketahanan perekonomian Indonesia.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NABACUT.COM, JAKARTA<\/strong> \u2014 Tren pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) belakangan ini tengah menyita perhatian publik. Berdasarkan data penutupan perdagangan terkini, mata uang Garuda sempat melemah hingga menyentuh level Rp17.827 per dolar AS<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meski angka ini memicu kekhawatiran di kalangan masyarakat, Menteri Keuangan (Menkeu) Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa menegaskan bahwa anjloknya nilai tukar rupiah ke kisaran tersebut sebenarnya tidak masuk akal<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apa yang mendasari optimisme pemerintah di tengah tekanan eksternal ini? Berikut adalah analisis mendalam mengenai kondisi fundamental ekonomi Indonesia saat ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. Fundamental Ekonomi Indonesia Tetap Kokoh<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Menurut Menkeu Purbaya, pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah yang terjadi saat ini tidak mencerminkan kondisi riil dari perekonomian domestik. Secara teori ekonomi, pelemahan mata uang yang drastis biasanya dipicu oleh adanya masalah pada fondasi ekonomi suatu negara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Kan ekonomi bagus, ini terjadi ketika fundamentalnya bagus. Ini enggak masuk akal sebenarnya. Biasanya melemah kalau ada gangguan di fundamental,” ujar Purbaya saat ditemui di kantor Direktorat Jenderal Pajak (DJP), Jakarta Selatan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dengan kata lain, karena indikator makroekonomi Indonesia masih menunjukkan performa yang solid, koreksi tajam pada rupiah dinilai lebih bersifat sementara dan dipengaruhi oleh sentimen pasar global ketimbang masalah internal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2. Hasil <\/strong>Stress Test<\/em><\/strong> APBN: Aman dari Lonjakan Harga Minyak Dunia<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Salah satu kekhawatiran terbesar pasar adalah dampak pelemahan rupiah terhadap Anggaran Pendapatan Belanja Negara (APBN), terutama terkait subsidi energi. Menjawab tantangan tersebut, Kementerian Keuangan rupanya telah melakukan simulasi ketahanan keuangan negara atau stress test<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pemerintah menegaskan bahwa skenario terburuk telah diperhitungkan, termasuk jika harga minyak mentah dunia melonjak hingga menyentuh angka US$100 per barel<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Enggak (ada stress test baru<\/em>), kami sudah hitung. Pada waktu simulasi 100 dolar per barel itu, asumsi rupiahnya juga sudah kami perhitungkan. Jadi enggak ada masalah, saya enggak harus hitung ulang APBN-nya,” jelas Purbaya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. Strategi Intervensi Pemerintah Melalui Pasar Obligasi<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Pemerintah tidak tinggal diam melihat fluktuasi ini. Untuk menjaga stabilitas nilai tukar, serangkaian langkah taktis telah dieksekusi di pasar keuangan, salah satunya melalui operasi pasar Surat Berharga Negara (SBN).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Menariknya, di tengah pelemahan rupiah, imbal hasil (yield<\/em>) obligasi Indonesia justru mengalami penurunan. Hal ini merupakan hasil dari langkah intervensi strategis pemerintah bersama Direktorat Jenderal Perbendaharaan (DJPb).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Intervensi Treasury:<\/strong> Pemerintah melakukan pembelian kembali (buyback) SBN di pasar sekunder secara terukur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tujuan:<\/strong> Menjaga agar imbal hasil tetap terkendali dan memicu kepercayaan investor makro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dampak Positif:<\/strong> Langkah ini berhasil meredam kepanikan pasar sehingga volatilitas rupiah dapat diredam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. Aliran Modal Asing Mulai Masuk kembali<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Optimisme pemerintah kian diperkuat dengan mulai kembalinya kepercayaan investor global. Di tengah tekanan pasar, arus modal asing (capital inflow<\/em>) dilaporkan sudah mulai mengalir masuk kembali ke pasar obligasi Indonesia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Masuknya dana asing ini menjadi angin segar yang diperkirakan akan memperkuat likuiditas valuta asing di dalam negeri. Pemerintah optimistis bahwa kombinasi antara fundamental yang kuat dan kebijakan intervensi yang tepat akan membantu nilai tukar rupiah bergerak ke arah yang lebih signifikan dan stabil ke depannya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Data Pergerakan Rupiah Terkini<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sebagai catatan, pada penutupan perdagangan sebelumnya, rupiah sempat ditutup melemah 0,29 persen atau turun 52 poin ke posisi Rp17.795 per dolar AS, sebelum akhirnya bergerak dinamis di kisaran Rp17.800-an pada perdagangan pagi berikutnya. Namun, dengan intervensi yang terus berjalan, posisi ini diperkirakan akan segera menemukan titik keseimbangan baru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Potret Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa saat memberikan keterangan pers terkait analisis nilai tukar rupiah dan ketahanan perekonomian Indonesia. NABACUT.COM, JAKARTA \u2014 Tren pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) belakangan ini tengah menyita perhatian publik. Berdasarkan data penutupan perdagangan terkini, mata uang Garuda sempat melemah hingga menyentuh level Rp17.827 per dolar AS. 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